Regression Models in the Analysis of the Dependence of Trade Turnover of a Commercial Enterprise with Household Goods on the Turnover of Building Materials and Products
N. P. Nagornaya
Turgan-Baranovsky Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Abstract: The purpose of the work is to show the application of the regression model of the analysis of the effect of the turnover of building materials on the total turnover of the commercial store in question. Since the turnover of building materials and products depends on many factors that are considered in this paper as random quantities, then in this work we use a model of regression analysis. Using the properties of dynamic series, we consider not only the trend component of the dynamic series of statistical data, but also the temporal component of them as a random trend value. The methodology for forecasting economic indicators (the turnover of construction goods as a component of the total turnover of the economic enterprise under consideration) has been developed. In the simplest commodity turnover model of a group of commodities, first of all, it is taken into account that its value is determined by its price and income of a trading enterprise. implementation is also influenced by a number of other factors: the prices of products from different manufacturers, product quality, supplier reliability, the impact of advertising we, the environmental parameters of the product, etc. Usually it is assumed that all the factors that are not explicitly taken into account in the statistical model have a relatively small net effect on the object in the aspect of interest to us. The composition of the factors considered in the model and its structure can be refined in the course of improving the model.
Keywords: building materials and products, turnover, dynamic series, trend line, forecasting.
Pages: 56-60.
Link for citation: Nagornaya, N. P. Regression Models in the Analysis of the Dependence of Trade Turnover of a Commercial Enterprise with Household Goods on the Turnover of Building Materials and Products. – Text : electronic. – In: Proceeding of the Donbas National Academy of Civil Engineering and Architecture. – 2018. – Issue 2018-1(129) Modern building materials. – Р. 56-60. – URL: https://donnasa.ru/publish_house/journals/vestnik/2018/2018-1(129)/st_08_nagornaya.pdf (date of access: 15.10.2024). (in Russian)
Issue 2018-1 (129)Journal: Proceeding of the Donbas National Academy of Civil Engineering and Architecture
Publish house: Donbas National Academy of Civil Engineering and Architecture